Wednesday, December 2, 2009

November Weather Summary

At the end of October's monthly summary, I mentioned that the CPC suggested that November would be drier.  They were certainly right, and had it not been for a strong storm dumping over 2" on us mid-month, we would have reported much drier conditions for November.  As I stated in a previous post, we experienced 16 days without measurable precipitation; this is on the heels of the wettest month of the year.  The more than two week respite from the rain provided a chance for the farmers to get out and harvest most of their crops.  We still have beans and corn standing in places.

As of today, we have not seen any snow here in Fulton.  There are places in Mid-Missouri that have reported a trace of snow, but none here.  Therefore, the November snowfall average of 1.6" was not met.  To my knowledge, we ran a deficit on snowfall every month last winter.  Look forward to more complete data this year.

Temperatures


November ranked 9th warmest on history for Columbia, as this data depicts.  We only had 6 days with a below-average high temp, and 23 days above-average.


Mean High / (average):   60.2 / (53.4)  +6.8
Mean Low / (average):  41.4 / (33.0)  +8.4
Mean Temp / (average):  50.8 / (43.2)  +7.6
High Temp:  76° on November 7
Low Temp:  27° on November 27


Precipitation

As stated before, we experienced a 16-day dry spell, which was abruptly ended by a 2.08" rain on the 15th (made the deer hunters pretty mad).  The 5-day precip total from the 15th - 19th was 2.86".  This means that 97% of our precip total for the month fell in this 5-day period.





Average monthly total for November:  3.85"
Actual monthly total for November:  2.94"
Deviation:  -0.91"

This is the first time we have had a deficit of precipitation since January.





Although we ran a deficit, we are still above the past two Novembers

For the year, we currently have a surplus of 15.98", which is unbelievable to me considering some people only get that much a year.  I am up to two years since I last watered my yard.  That's almost unheard of in Missouri, since we almost always have a grass-killing drought sometime each summer.




Data disaggregation of days with precip:



Missing something?  Snow graph.  Hopefully I'll have one for you next month.

First Snow Today?

There is a chance we could see our first accumulation here at MO-CW-1 in Fulton.  The forecast changed a bit overnight due to the track of the storm, but we still stand a chance to have some white on grassy surfaces by tonight.  At least we'll get to see the snow fall for the first time this year. 


Friday, November 27, 2009

December Outlook...Cold and Active??

Record cold October...check

Near record warm November...check

Record cold December?

I saw an interesting blog entry from the local TV station (KMIZ) tonight.  They frequently do a superb job of keeping the public updated with any potential weather threat as early as they can.  This particular entry caught my attention with the words "colder than average month, and very active as well".

Watch the video

This reminds me of the last significant snow event we experienced here in Fulton.  It was November 30 - December 1, 2006.  Fulton officially recorded 14.2" during that period.  Interestingly enough, I was watching the weather that day (no school that day obviously), when I saw an advertisement for CoCoRaHS on the local CBS station, it was the first I had heard of it.

Here is the great write up the NWS in St. Louis made on the storm.

They added an amazing satellite pic from the MODIS polar orbiting satellite that shows the grandeur of this awesome storm.  OSNW3, looking at your data, you managed to squeeze 1.1" out of the system.



(Source:  nasa.gov)

Follow the source link for higher-resolution pictures


Monday, November 16, 2009

October Re-visited

I'll start today's post with an interesting statistic for the year:

The wettest month this year was October -- with a total rainfall of 12.49".
Immediately following this, we experienced our driest period of the year, with 16 days of no measurable precipitation (>T)





After a very warm beginning to November, October is back with temperatures in the 40s and all-day rain events.  Some cooler air is spilling in behind the storm system bringing 5-8" of snow to Kansas.  Our first rain of the month came on the 15th with 2.08".  I thought we might actually have a month with below average precip, but I'm starting to think again.  These poor farmers in Callaway County are having a hard time getting their crops in.  There are still fields half-full of corn in places.

Tuesday, November 10, 2009

What Month is This?

It seems October and November made a switch this year.  What an amazing shift in weather!  The month of October, with its 12.49" precip total, under average temperatures, and even some snow to the upper midwest, gave way to the most pleasant beginning to November I can remember.  The past 9 days have simply been a delight.  We have enjoyed dry weather, sunny skies, and above-average temps every day so far.




We have gone 11 days now without any measurable precipitation, which is the first time since February 25th of this year.  With a 40% chance of showers today, we might be able to extend this dry spell even longer. 

I don't mind, as long as it gets cold and nasty by the time deer season rolls around.

Monday, November 2, 2009

An October To Remember

--- Updated 11/4 ---

This summer was quiet in the world of weather blogs.  We have more than made up for it this month, though.  October 2009 brought with it record cold and wet weather.  We saw a couple mornings with frost early on, but for the most part, the temperature stayed above freezing overnight.  Here are some notable stats on the month:

  • We experienced 21 days with at least a trace of precip
  • Average Temperature:  50.8° *4th coldest October*
  • Total Precip:  12.49" *New Record for Fulton*
  • Fun Fact:
    • Every Thursday was wet
    • Every Saturday was dry <-- Correlation?

Click HERE for MO-CW-1 Daily Observations

Temperatures


We only exceeded the average high temperature 5 times this month.

Highest Temp:  75° on Oct. 20

Lowest Temp:  30° on Oct. 18

Mean High (average):  59.3° (68.0°)  |  -8.7

Mean Low (average):  42.4° (44.1°)  |  +1.7

Mean Temp (average):  50.8° (56.0°)  |  +5.2

Days Above Average High:  5

Days Below Average High:  26



Precipitation


Days with measurable precipitation:  18

Days with thunder:  5



Our yearly total so far.  The average yearly precipitation total for Fulton is 41.22"




Looking at a comparison of the past three Octobers gives you an idea of the huge month this has been.

Monthly Average:  3.25"



Finally, a data disaggregation of our precip this month:





Looking Ahead to November

Looking at the CPC models, a drier and warmer start to November seems to be the hand dealt to us.  I am glad for the break.  I'd like to take some time analyzing the past month some more.  I'm sure I'll want to know more about what happened a few years from now.

----.....----.....----.....----



Thursday, October 29, 2009

Weather Station Now Online!!

I am very excited this morning.  Our wonderful tech guy here at school has hooked up our new WMR-968 online.  I'm still playing with much of the formatting and such, but it will start shaping up soon.

The outside temp sensor and anemometer are still in my room (haven't had a chance to get them in an appropriate place outside yet), but they will be up soon.

The official school weather site is HERE.

For more detailed data and weather history for the station, click HERE.